KXTOKENLAUNCHOPENSEA-25OCT01
Will OpenSea launch a token before Oct 1, 2025?
$0.04

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.04 $0.04 4.0¢ 3.92%
NO $0.96 $0.98 $1.0 4.0¢ 96.15%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.04 75
NO $0.96 75 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.04 0.0 0
$0.98 0.0 275

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.0000.040
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.08
NO Edge (ticks)-3.92
Vig (bps/h)400

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($)
ΔSpread (¢)
ΔLast Trade ($)
Micro Pull ($)
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-08-27 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-09-30 11:59 PM ET (7d 1h 2m)
Expected Expiration2025-08-27 10:00 AM ET (-27d 12h 56m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1058210
24h Volume0
Open Interest414
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.053.010647.97
0.2590.8510581.62
0.50216.2910434.68
0.75216.2910434.68
0.95216.2910434.68
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:56:23.889289

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