KXTOPMODEL-25SEP-O320250416
What will be the top AI model this month?
$0.01
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
| NO | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.01% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 28104 |
| NO | $0.99 | 28104 | $1.0 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 38633 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.000 – 0.010 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 0 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | 2025-08-31 10:00 AM ET |
| Last Trade (Close) | 2025-09-30 10:00 AM ET (6d 23h 0m) |
| Expected Expiration | 2025-09-30 10:00 AM ET (6d 23h 0m) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 1430243 |
| 24h Volume | 0 |
| Open Interest | 1146 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 535.0 | 15695.43 |
| 0.25 | 1618.27 | 14612.16 |
| 0.50 | 1618.27 | 14612.16 |
| 0.75 | 1618.27 | 14612.16 |
| 0.95 | 2711.43 | 13519.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If o3-2025-04-16 is the top-ranked AI model on Sep 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
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Last updated: 2025-09-23T14:59:07.190614
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