KXTROPSTORM-25DEC01-T10
Will there be more than 10 Atlantic hurricanes in 2025?
10
$1.0
Market Snapshot
| Bid | Mid | Ask | Spread | Prob (Mid) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1.0 | 1.0¢ | 99.0% |
| NO | $0.0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 1.0¢ | 1.0% |
Order Book (Top)
| Side | Best Bid | Bid Size | Best Ask | Ask Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | $0.99 | 0 | $1.0 | 0 |
| NO | $0.0 | 0 | $0.01 | 0 |
| Microprice | Imbalance | Depth ±$0.05 |
|---|---|---|
| $0.99 | 0.0 | 0 |
| $0.01 | 0.0 | 0 |
Fair Probability Band & Arb
| Prob Band (0–1) | 0.990 – 1.000 |
| Band Width | 0.010 |
Edge & Time-Weighted Vig
| YES Edge (ticks) | -1.0 |
| NO Edge (ticks) | -0.0 |
| Vig (bps/h) | 100 |
State Change & Momentum
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ΔMid ($) | — |
| ΔSpread (¢) | — |
| ΔLast Trade ($) | — |
| Micro Pull ($) | — |
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.
Timing
| Opens | — |
| Last Trade (Close) | — (—) |
| Expected Expiration | — (—) |
Book & Activity
| Liquidity | 2847023 |
| 24h Volume | 1 |
| Open Interest | 11228 |
| OI Turnover (24h) | 0.0 |
| Status | active |
Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)
| Target | Cost ↑ | Cost ↓ |
|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 0.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.
Rules
Primary
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2025 and December 01, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2025. To be clear, a storm is counted even if it is unnamed as long as it occurs in the relevant time period (January 1, 2025 and December 01, 2025) and has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 miles per hour or more.
Related Markets
Liquidity and Market Impact Overview
This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.
Yes 🔵 Market
No 🟡 Market
🤖 AI Market Insight
This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AI Summary:
Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data
Last updated: 2025-11-11T15:36:06.488423
Technical Indicators
No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →
Let us know what you’d like to see →