KXNORWAYPM-25-C
Will Centre win the Norwegian Prime Ministry?
:: Centre
$0.04

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.04 $0.04 4.0¢ 3.92%
NO $0.96 $0.98 $1.0 4.0¢ 96.15%
Overround (asks): 4.0% Underround (bids): 4.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.04 3218
NO $0.96 3218 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.04 0.0 0
$0.98 0.0 4600

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.040
Band Width0.040

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.08
NO Edge (ticks)-3.92
Vig (bps/h)400

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-12-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 14h 4m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-08 10:00 AM ET (-13d 9h 55m)
Early Close: The market will close and expire following a the start of the next session of Parliament.

Book & Activity

Liquidity129233
24h Volume0
Open Interest3218
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05128.721229.63
0.25307.821050.53
0.50307.821050.53
0.75307.821050.53
0.95314.331044.02
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the first Prime Minister for the next session of Parliament is a member of Centre party, then the market resolves to Yes.

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:: Progress
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:: Conservative
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:: Labour
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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T23:55:40.401869

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