KXNORWAYPM-25-L
Will Labour win the Norwegian Prime Ministry?
:: Labour
$1.0

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.98 $0.99 $1.0 2.0¢ 98.02%
NO $0.0 $0.02 $0.02 2.0¢ 2.0%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.98 1408 $1.0 0
NO $0.0 0 $0.02 1408
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.99 0.0 1703
$0.02 0.0 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.980 – 1.000
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-1.98
NO Edge (ticks)-0.02
Vig (bps/h)200

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) 0.01
ΔSpread (¢) 1.0
ΔLast Trade ($) 0.02
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-12-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 11h 33m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-08 10:00 AM ET (-13d 12h 26m)
Early Close: The market will close and expire following a the start of the next session of Parliament.

Book & Activity

Liquidity2509729
24h Volume114
Open Interest24584
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05174.53834.14
0.25508.013500.63
0.50508.013500.63
0.75508.013500.63
0.952576.961660.63
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the first Prime Minister for the next session of Parliament is a member of Labour party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

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$0.01
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:: Liberal
$0.01
:: Christian Democratic
$0.01
:: Green
$0.02
:: Progress
$0.02
:: Conservative
$0.02
:: Centre
$0.04

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T02:26:30.344862

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