KXNORWAYPM-25-P
Will Progress win the Norwegian Prime Ministry?
:: Progress
$0.02

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.02 $0.02 2.0¢ 1.98%
NO $0.98 $0.99 $1.0 2.0¢ 98.04%
Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.02 2739
NO $0.98 2739 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.02 0.0 0
$0.99 0.0 4225

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.020
Band Width0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.02
NO Edge (ticks)-1.98
Vig (bps/h)200

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-12-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 14h 0m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-08 10:00 AM ET (-13d 9h 59m)
Early Close: The market will close and expire following a the start of the next session of Parliament.

Book & Activity

Liquidity15986129
24h Volume0
Open Interest36836
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0569.36170616.55
0.25189.36170496.55
0.50229.36170456.55
0.75229.36170456.55
0.954380.12166305.79
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the first Prime Minister for the next session of Parliament is a member of Progress party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

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$0.01
:: Red
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:: Liberal
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:: Christian Democratic
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:: Green
$0.02
:: Conservative
$0.02
:: Centre
$0.04
:: Labour
$1.0

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T23:59:20.721306

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