KXNORWAYPM-25-LIB
Will Liberal win the Norwegian Prime Ministry?
:: Liberal
$0.01

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.0 $0.01 $0.01 1.0¢ 1.0%
NO $0.99 $0.99 $1.0 1.0¢ 99.01%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.0 0 $0.01 7100
NO $0.99 7100 $1.0 0
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.01 0.0 0
$0.99 0.0 8691

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.000 – 0.010
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.0
NO Edge (ticks)-1.0
Vig (bps/h)100

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-12-04 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-08 10:00 AM ET (351d 14h 53m)
Expected Expiration2025-09-08 10:00 AM ET (-13d 9h 6m)
Early Close: The market will close and expire following a the start of the next session of Parliament.

Book & Activity

Liquidity81565
24h Volume0
Open Interest0
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0587.73727.92
0.25207.73607.92
0.50207.73607.92
0.75207.73607.92
0.95207.73607.92
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If the first Prime Minister for the next session of Parliament is a member of Liberal party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

:: Socialist Left
$0.01
:: Red
$0.01
:: Patient Focus
$0.01
:: Christian Democratic
$0.01
:: Green
$0.02
:: Progress
$0.02
:: Conservative
$0.02
:: Centre
$0.04
:: Labour
$1.0

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-21T23:06:34.149514

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