KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-26-BRE
2026 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?
Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu:: Wake Up Dead Man
$0.32

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.31 $0.32 $0.32 1.0¢ 31.5%
NO $0.68 $0.69 $0.69 1.0¢ 68.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.31 32 $0.32 5
NO $0.68 5 $0.69 32
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.3186 0.7297 264
$0.6814 -0.7297 5

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.310 – 0.320
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) -0.04
ΔSpread (¢) -9.0
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.0014
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-07-30 04:49 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (463d 10h 13m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-22 10:00 AM ET (120d 10h 13m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity648314
24h Volume7
Open Interest421
OI Turnover (24h)0.02
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.0551.0970.08
0.2592.95928.13
0.50338.04683.04
0.75468.04559.04
0.95825.08196.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The 98th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2025.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-24T04:46:53.441217

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