KXOSCARNOMBCASTING-26-TIFF
2026 Achievement in Casting Oscar nominations?
Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey:: Wicked: For Good
$0.69

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.59 $0.64 $0.69 10.0¢ 64.0%
NO $0.31 $0.36 $0.41 10.0¢ 36.0%
Overround (asks): 10.0% Underround (bids): 10.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.59 25 $0.69 25
NO $0.31 25 $0.41 25
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.64 0.0 25
$0.36 0.0 25

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.590 – 0.690
Band Width0.100

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-5.0
NO Edge (ticks)-5.0
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-19 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-12-31 10:00 AM ET (463d 12h 6m)
Expected Expiration2026-01-22 10:00 AM ET (120d 12h 6m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity1511755
24h Volume0
Open Interest1123
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05105.06050.34
0.25193.56012.34
0.50271.55883.84
0.75687.55467.84
0.951156.344999.0
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey has been nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Secondary
The 98th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2025.

Related Markets

Margery Simkin:: Avatar: Fire and Ash
$0.12
Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann:: F1
$0.15
Robin D. Cook:: Frankenstein
$0.2
Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada:: Rental Family
$0.28
Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu:: Wake Up Dead Man
$0.32
Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold:: Jay Kelly
$0.33
Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman:: Sentimental Value
$0.45
Jennifer Venditti:: Marty Supreme
$0.52
Nina Gold:: Hamnet
$0.75
Cassandra Kulukundis:: One Battle After Another
$0.85
Francine Maisler:: Sinners
$0.91

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-24T02:53:58.624293

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →