KXWEALTHY-25-BA
Wealthiest person in the world at year-end?
Bernard Arnault & family
$0.02

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.01 $0.01 $0.02 1.0¢ 1.5%
NO $0.98 $0.98 $0.99 1.0¢ 98.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.01 1847 $0.02 20
NO $0.98 20 $0.99 1847
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0199 0.9786 3600
$0.9801 -0.9786 2153

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.010 – 0.020
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) 0.0099
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-11-05 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 20h 26m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 20h 26m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity37044422
24h Volume0
Open Interest5216
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05152.91737106.92
0.25264.91736994.92
0.50264.91736994.92
0.752753.91734505.92
0.95146970.75590289.08
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Bernard Arnault & family is the wealthiest person in the world on Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Jensen Huang
$0.03
Warren Buffett
$0.04
Jeff Bezos
$0.04
Mark Zuckerberg
$0.05
Larry Ellison
$0.16
Elon Musk
$0.87

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:33:00.213293

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →