KXWEALTHY-25-LE
Wealthiest person in the world at year-end?
Larry Ellison
$0.18

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.17 $0.17 $0.18 1.0¢ 17.5%
NO $0.82 $0.82 $0.83 1.0¢ 82.5%
Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.17 20 $0.18 0
NO $0.82 0 $0.83 20
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.17 0.0 10603
$0.82 0.0 896

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.170 – 0.180
Band Width0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)-0.5
Vig (bps/h)0

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) —
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2024-11-05 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 18h 40m)
Expected Expiration2025-12-31 10:00 AM ET (98d 18h 40m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity36469604
24h Volume4089
Open Interest61391
OI Turnover (24h)0.07
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.05915.08652616.48
0.254341.59648388.72
0.505097.95647892.36
0.7518155.45644107.36
0.95126919.15595476.56
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Larry Ellison is the wealthiest person in the world on Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T20:19:40.396068

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