EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-CAL

Will the California win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.01

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.0	$0.01	$0.01	1.0¢	1.0%
NO	$0.99	$0.99	$1.0	1.0¢	99.01%

Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.0	0	$0.01	160998
NO	$0.99	160998	$1.0	0

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.01	0.0	0
$0.99	0.0	160998

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.000 – 0.010
Band Width	0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-0.0
NO Edge (ticks)	-1.0
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	—

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-07-11 08:00 PM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 20h 27m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 20h 27m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	395892936
24h Volume	1
Open Interest	6601
OI Turnover (24h)	0.0
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	1609.98	3957402.68
0.25	3041.5	3955971.16
0.50	4602.98	3954409.68
0.75	58099.04	3900913.62
0.95	1103185.62	2855827.04

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If California wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:32:40.773736

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