EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-ND

Will the Notre Dame win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.03

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.01	$0.02	$0.03	2.0¢	2.0%
NO	$0.97	$0.98	$0.99	2.0¢	98.0%

Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.01	74717	$0.03	17241
NO	$0.97	17241	$0.99	74717

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.0263	0.625	74717
$0.9737	-0.625	53200

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.010 – 0.030
Band Width	0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)	-1.0
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	0.0063

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-02-11 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 22h 15m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 22h 15m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	406082840
24h Volume	5906
Open Interest	201996
OI Turnover (24h)	0.03
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	1864.4	3959366.92
0.25	4974.7	3956256.62
0.50	6556.86	3954674.46
0.75	60050.64	3901180.68
0.95	1105137.22	2856094.1

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Notre Dame wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-23T16:44:40.256379

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →