EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-LSU

Will the LSU win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.07

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.06	$0.07	$0.07	1.0¢	6.5%
NO	$0.93	$0.94	$0.94	1.0¢	93.5%

Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.06	1940	$0.07	18458
NO	$0.93	18458	$0.94	1940

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.061	-0.8098	4556
$0.939	0.8098	70620

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.060 – 0.070
Band Width	0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)	-0.5
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	-0.009

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-02-11 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 22h 19m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 22h 19m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	396914354
24h Volume	1610
Open Interest	269563
OI Turnover (24h)	0.01
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	90.5	3966183.9
0.25	9913.91	3956357.99
0.50	11393.11	3954856.29
0.75	65068.72	3901180.68
0.95	1110155.3	2856094.1

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If LSU wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T16:40:48.857266

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