EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-MIA

Will the Miami (FL) win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.07

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.06	$0.07	$0.07	1.0¢	6.5%
NO	$0.93	$0.94	$0.94	1.0¢	93.5%

Overround (asks): 1.0% Underround (bids): 1.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.06	12165	$0.07	10601
NO	$0.93	10601	$0.94	12165

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.0653	0.0687	35467
$0.9347	-0.0687	51213

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.060 – 0.070
Band Width	0.010

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-0.5
NO Edge (ticks)	-0.5
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	-0.0047

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-02-11 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 20h 25m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 20h 25m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	402822603
24h Volume	20216
Open Interest	292285
OI Turnover (24h)	0.07
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	1152.1	3966264.14
0.25	10052.87	3956248.37
0.50	11532.07	3954769.17
0.75	65170.06	3901131.18
0.95	1110256.64	2856044.6

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Miami (FL) wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

Sending data to LLM will refresh in a few minutes to see data

Last updated: 2025-09-23T18:34:41.507606

Technical Indicators

No technical indicators are currently available.
Let us know what you’d like to see →