EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-OM

Will the Ole Miss win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.03

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.01	$0.02	$0.03	2.0¢	2.0%
NO	$0.97	$0.98	$0.99	2.0¢	98.0%

Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.01	45749	$0.03	46066
NO	$0.97	46066	$0.99	45749

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.02	-0.0035	45749
$0.98	0.0035	70474

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.010 – 0.030
Band Width	0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)	-1.0
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	—
ΔLast Trade ($)	—
Micro Pull ($)	—

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-02-11 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 22h 20m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 22h 20m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	404127669
24h Volume	400
Open Interest	187408
OI Turnover (24h)	0.0
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	2691.47	3958986.77
0.25	4488.7	3957189.54
0.50	7003.78	3954674.46
0.75	60497.56	3901180.68
0.95	1105584.14	2856094.1

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Ole Miss wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T16:39:27.898572

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