EVENTQUANT

KXNCAAF-26-UGA

Will the Georgia win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

$0.11

Market Snapshot

	Bid	Mid	Ask	Spread	Prob (Mid)
YES	$0.09	$0.1	$0.11	2.0¢	10.0%
NO	$0.89	$0.9	$0.91	2.0¢	90.0%

Overround (asks): 2.0% Underround (bids): 2.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

Side	Best Bid	Bid Size	Best Ask	Ask Size
YES	$0.09	13601	$0.11	18195
NO	$0.89	18195	$0.91	13601

Microprice	Imbalance	Depth ±$0.05
$0.0986	-0.1445	22487
$0.9014	0.1445	68721

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1)	0.090 – 0.110
Band Width	0.020

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)	-1.0
NO Edge (ticks)	-1.0
Vig (bps/h)	0

State Change & Momentum

Metric	Value
ΔMid ($)	—
ΔSpread (¢)	1.0
ΔLast Trade ($)	0.01
Micro Pull ($)	-0.0014

Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens	2025-02-11 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)	2028-01-19 10:00 AM ET (847d 22h 20m)
Expected Expiration	2026-01-19 10:00 AM ET (117d 22h 20m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity	488388751
24h Volume	1615
Open Interest	158029
OI Turnover (24h)	0.01
Status	active

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

Target	Cost ↑	Cost ↓
0.05	9204.23	3969089.92
0.25	20561.56	3957927.34
0.50	23497.71	3955046.44
0.75	77113.47	3901180.68
0.95	1122200.05	2856094.1

↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary

If Georgia wins the College Football Playoff National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-23T16:39:44.618005

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