KXMLBNLMOTY-25-MSHI
Who will win NL Manager of the Year?
:: San Diego
$0.46

Market Snapshot

BidMidAskSpreadProb (Mid)
YES $0.01 $0.23 $0.46 45.0¢ 23.5%
NO $0.54 $0.77 $0.99 45.0¢ 76.5%
Overround (asks): 45.0% Underround (bids): 45.0% Notional: $1

Order Book (Top)

SideBest BidBid SizeBest AskAsk Size
YES $0.01 1 $0.46 53
NO $0.54 53 $0.99 1
MicropriceImbalanceDepth ±$0.05
$0.0183 -0.963 0
$0.9817 0.963 0

Fair Probability Band & Arb

Prob Band (0–1) 0.010 – 0.460
Band Width0.450

Edge & Time-Weighted Vig

YES Edge (ticks)-22.5
NO Edge (ticks)-22.5
Vig (bps/h)5

State Change & Momentum

MetricValue
ΔMid ($) —
ΔSpread (¢) —
ΔLast Trade ($) —
Micro Pull ($) -0.2117
Tightening (ΔSpread < 0) shown in green. Positive Micro Pull = buy-side pressure; negative = sell-side.

Timing

Opens2025-06-13 10:00 AM ET
Last Trade (Close)2026-09-29 10:00 AM ET (371d 14h 58m)
Expected Expiration2025-10-29 10:00 AM ET (36d 14h 58m)

Book & Activity

Liquidity6855134
24h Volume0
Open Interest12991
OI Turnover (24h)0.0
Statusactive

Cost to Breach Targets (YES Book)

TargetCost ↑Cost ↓
0.050.0168931.83
0.250.0168931.83
0.5047.4268884.42
0.75426.0568505.79
0.955061.4463870.4
↑ uses asks to push up; ↓ uses bids to push down.

Rules

Primary
If Mike Shildt wins the Pro baseball National League Manager of the Year in the 2025 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

:: St. Louis
$0.01
:: San Francisco
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:: Philadelphia
$0.02
:: New York M
$0.05
:: Los Angeles D
$0.32
:: Chicago C
$0.46
:: Arizona
$0.47
:: Cincinnati
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:: Washington
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:: Miami
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:: Atlanta
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:: Milwaukee
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Who will win NL Manager of the Year?
$0.99

Liquidity and Market Impact Overview

This shows the cumulative value at each price point based on current bids and asks for each side.

Yes 🔵 Market

No 🟡 Market

🤖 AI Market Insight

This summary is generated based on trade data and external information. It reflects where the market may be leaning based on large trader behavior and current price dynamics. For entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice.

AI Summary:

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Last updated: 2025-09-22T23:01:34.359635

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